Not Using a Credit Card Will Cost You $100,000+ Across Your Lifetime

*Warning: This Post May Trigger Dave Ramsay Supporters*

Not clickbait. The math doesn’t lie. Honestly, using a credit card responsibly will generate probably more than $100k in lifetime savings depending on your future potential spend. God Bless America. I would argue that effectively using a credit card is one of the higher ROI things you can do to improve your personal finances.

What I will say, however is this is 100% conditional on paying your bill in full each month and not carrying a balance. This also assumes you are a responsible spender and that using a credit card does not increase your spending vs using debit or cash. If you do carry a balance or are an impulsive spender with credit cards, then this will tip the scales negative for you, where it no longer becomes advantageous.

This was a great business class flight & you paid for it

There are 4 key reasons why you should use a credit card to improve your personal finances:

The System is Structurally Rigged to Favor Credit Cards (in the US)

In America, I’d argue the credit cards ecosystem is functionally an indirect transfer of wealth from the poor to the rich (for those that pay off their balance every month). What makes this game more unique in America is that it’s opt-in by default. You’re playing, even if you don’t want to. In fact, those that don’t “care” and use debit cards / low ROI credit cards are the ones quite literally paying for everyone else, at least on a systemic level. So in a way, the game is dependent on some level of consumer ignorance.

While ethics of this can be debated, the optimal thing anyone should do is play the game, and play it well. This is the most extreme in the US. Other markets like Canada, Sweden, UK, Singapore, Hong Kong etc also have robust credit card reward ecosystems, but the US is the undisputed king of credit card rewards.

Why? Interchange.

Here’s a simplified model of how buying anything in the United States works:

You swipe a credit card. The merchant (store you’re buying from) pays a ~3% processing fee, comprised largely of a fee called interchange, which goes to the card-issuing bank. However, merchants bake the impact of this processing fee into their prices.

So let’s say you buy some groceries and random stuff at Target for $100:

  • Cash / Debit: You pay $100
  • Credit Card: You pay $100. And get points / cash back.

Same items, same price, different financial outcome.

Multiply this by a lifetime, and this starts to really stack up (see following sections for the math).

That’s a lot of metal

Rewards, Rewards, Rewards

The primary reason to get a credit card is the rewards. If anything, don’t even view these as rewards, but more so getting your money back for already-inflated-retail prices that pay for these rewards.

There are two primary categories of credit card rewards:

  • Cash back
  • Points (airline, hotel, flexible points, etc)

There’s no wrong approach to either; points nerds (like me) will always advocate for points, but the rough rule of thumb is:

  • Simplicity: Go with cash back. Set it and forget it, redeem your cash back once a year or whenever works
  • Complexity but More Rewards: Go with a points / miles card. This takes a bit of time and research, and A LOT of time and effort on the extreme end (which of course, is optional). I generally enjoy the “game”, but if you don’t care or want to just simplify your life and go with a simple cash back card (or a flat points card like the Venture X).

Now for the math. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, American households earning $100,000–$150,000 annually spend approximately $90,000 per year. Excluding housing and other expenses that typically can’t be paid by credit card, let’s say the average middle/upper income individual has $35,000 per year in credit-card-eligible spending (significantly higher for coastal high-income professionals). Let’s run with $35K in expenses to run the math here as a base case:

Cash Back Card: Worth At Least ~$50K Over a Lifetime

With the following assumptions:

Starting Spend$35,000
Years of Meaningful Spending40
Annual Spending Growth2.5%
Average Cash Back2%

a cash back card will yield ~$50K back over a lifetime of spending in nominal terms. If you were to invest this in the stock market at a pretty conservative 5% annual compound return assumption, this cash back is worth ~$122k over 40 years of spending.

That pays for a lot of cool travel, or really whatever you like doing

Points Card: Worth At Least $100K+ (sky’s the limit here)

Points are where things get wild. With the following assumptions:

Starting Spend$35,000
Years of Meaningful Spending40
Annual Spending Growth2.5%
Average Points Back on Spend2x
Average Value Per Point2 cents

a points card with these assumptions will yield ~$94K back over a lifetime (40 years) of significant card spending. Note the average points back on spend can be higher in some cases, and the average value per point assumes you’re making decent points redemptions (i.e good economy deals, hotels, nothing crazy).

However, this doesn’t even factor in sign-up bonuses. This is where the math can go insane. The downside here is that this requires a bit more time investment, and you can really go down the rabbit hole here (like I do), but there’s outsized value to be found. Let’s say you are somewhat invested in the credit card game, and get ~2 new credit cards per year with a decent signup bonus per year (75,000 points / miles of your respective card). Re-running the math:

Starting Spend$35,000
Years of Meaningful Spending40
Annual Spending Growth2.5%
Average Points Back on Spend2x
Average Value Per Point2 cents
Average Annual Sign Up Bonus75,000 points
New Cards Per Year2

Under these assumptions, you’d earn approximately 10.7 million points over 40 years, worth ~$214,000 in travel redemptions at an average valuation of 2 cents per point. Of that, roughly $94,000 comes from everyday spending, while another $120,000 comes from sign-up bonuses alone. Yes, that’s over $200,000 in potential value. From using credit cards for purchases you were already going to make (!).

One important side note that makes this even more attractive: points are non-taxable. The IRS views points/miles as rebates, not income. So let’s say you redeem points on a flight that would have cost $2,000. If you’re a W2 employee like the majority of working professionals, you’d need a raise of $2,900 in salary (assuming a 30% marginal tax rate on incremental earnings) to pay for the flight with cash (after taxes). In other words, $2,000 in tax-free redemption value is equivalent to nearly $2,900 in pre-tax earnings.

At the end of the day, the beauty of these points is that they can unlock cool travel experiences (arguably one of the most fun parts of life) for cheap or free, or let you spend a moderate amount for insanely luxurious experiences you’d never pay cash for (i.e long-haul first/business class).

South park at 35,000 feet. Doesn’t get better than this
Hyatt Regency Da Nang with Amex credits

Also to note, with a lot of the high end cards, you get free lounge access. I’m not counting this since these generally come with high offsetting annual fees, but personally I’ve gotten a ton of value from lounges over the years:

Caloriemaxxing at 6am at the Capital One Landing DCA

You Get an Interest Free Loan Every Month

On top of points / cash back, fundamentally with a credit card you’re getting an interest-free loan from the bank every month assuming you pay back your statement balance in full at your due date.

Let’s say you spend $3,000 per month on everyday expenses.

With a debit card, that money leaves your bank account immediately. With a credit card, you don’t actually have to pay until your statement’s due date.

For example:

  • November 1: You spend $100 on your credit card.
  • November 30: Your statement closes.
  • December 25: Your payment is due.

That’s 54 days of interest-free borrowing (!). Meanwhile, your $100 can continue earning interest in a high-yield savings account.

Of course, not every purchase gets 54 days. Assuming you spread your $3,000 in monthly expenses evenly throughout the billing cycle, you’d average approximately 40 days of interest-free float. At a 3.5% annual savings yield, that’s approximately $138 per year in additional interest. Over 40 years, reinvesting those earnings at the same 3.5% return would grow to approximately $11,400. Not life-changing money on its own, but it’s effectively free money on top of the credit card rewards you’re already earning.

$11K will get you a lot of Satay … or whatever you’re into

Free Insurance & Fraud Protection from the Bank

One final often-overlooked benefit is the fraud protection and ancillary insurance you get with a credit card.

Let’s say someone fraudulently spends $5,000 on your debit card. That money can disappear directly from your checking account while the bank investigates. Sure, debit cards have fraud protections too, and you may eventually get the money back, but in the meantime, you could be out $5,000 of your own cash.

With a credit card, it’s fundamentally different. It’s the bank’s money, not yours. You can dispute the fraudulent charge without having $5,000 drained from your checking account, and credit cards generally lean heavily towards being consumer friendly in any merchant dispute.

And that’s before considering the additional protections offered by many credit cards, including purchase protection, extended warranties, rental car coverage, and trip delay insurance. For example, the Amex Platinum card will cover expenses up to $500 per trip if you have a significantly delayed / cancelled flight for a covered reason (lots of mid / premium travel cards offer decent insurance options).

Shopping in Vietnam … with the bank’s money. Just make sure you pay it back.

Conclusion & Considerations for the Future

Using a credit card effectively is one of the highest-ROI things you can do to supercharge your personal finances. Again, this is contingent on paying your balance in full every month, but using a rewards credit card and playing the game can yield huge financial rewards for US consumers (and select markets abroad).

Now, one thing to monitor is that the game has gotten so good that congress now has its eyes on it. There’s been increasing pressure in Washington to potential cap or throttle interchange on credit cards, which is the biggest long term risk by far to the credit card rewards ecosystem. However, I wouldn’t bet on congress making any of these changes any time soon, if ever. There’s just too much money being made. So, instead of lobbying your local Congressperson, just play the game.

This was free.


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